2019年上半年，全球造船業預期悲觀，船(chuan)東(dong)信心嚴(yan)重受(shou)挫，新(xin)船(chuan)投資極度(du)謹(jin)慎;在(zai)貨主或航商長期穩定租約匱乏(fa)背景(jing)(jing)下，訂(ding)(ding)單成交(jiao)量逐月減(jian)少(shao)，1-6月全(quan)球僅成交(jiao)新(xin)船(chuan)400艘、2536萬載(zai)(zai)重噸(dun)(dun)，以載(zai)(zai)重噸(dun)(dun)計，同比減(jian)少(shao)52.4%;6月份，由于(yu)G20峰會臨近，國(guo)際政治與經貿發展前(qian)景(jing)(jing)有待(dai)明(ming)朗(lang)，船(chuan)東(dong)觀望情緒(xu)加重，進一步(bu)收緊投資，全(quan)球僅有26艘新(xin)船(chuan)訂(ding)(ding)單簽訂(ding)(ding)，共計207萬載(zai)(zai)重噸(dun)(dun)。

從重點監測指標(biao)看，2019年6月，中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)造船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)業景(jing)氣先行指數(shu)主(zhu)要(yao)分項指標(biao)三降一升，其中(zhong)，中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)廠承接新船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)訂(ding)單51.0萬載重噸(dun)，環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)下降51.2%;克拉克松海(hai)運指數(shu)平均(jun)值13050美元(yuan)/天，環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)上(shang)漲10.0%;新造船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)價格中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)指數(shu)1120點，環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)下降0.8%;沿海(hai)和內河主(zhu)要(yao)港(gang)口外貿吞吐量36330萬噸(dun)，環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)下降0.9%。中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)造船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)業景(jing)氣同(tong)步(bu)指數(shu)重點分項指標(biao)兩升兩降，其中(zhong)，中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)造船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)完工(gong)量194.0萬載重噸(dun)，環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)下降46.0%;船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)舶出口額(e)(e)1484.2億美元(yuan)，環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)下降10.9%;中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)廠主(zhu)營業務收(shou)入185.0億元(yuan)，環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)上(shang)漲24.4%;中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)廠利潤總(zong)額(e)(e)0.3億元(yuan)，環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)上(shang)漲8.3%。

在上述指(zhi)(zhi)標綜(zong)合影響下(xia)(xia)，2019年6月中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)造船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)業景氣(qi)先行(xing)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)為97.3，環(huan)比下(xia)(xia)降0.8點(dian);中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)造船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)業景氣(qi)同步指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)為94.6，環(huan)比下(xia)(xia)降0.6點(dian);中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)造船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)業預警指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)為88.9，環(huan)比下(xia)(xia)降0.5點(dian)。從(cong)新(xin)船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)成交量來(lai)看，中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)國(guo)內(nei)船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)東(dong)與金融類機構積極入市，加(jia)之船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)廠(chang)加(jia)強對油船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)等劣勢船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)型(xing)市場(chang)的拓(tuo)展(zhan)，1-6月，中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)廠(chang)累計(ji)接(jie)單1372萬載重噸(dun)，雖(sui)同比減少25%，但市場(chang)份(fen)額升至(zhi)54%，重回全(quan)球榜(bang)首。未來(lai)一段時間(jian)，航運市場(chang)或穩中(zhong)(zhong)向好，行(xing)業信心將有所提振，船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)東(dong)投資積極性與主動性開始增強，部分擱置項目有望再度提上日程，短(duan)期(qi)內(nei)新(xin)船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)需求將低位回升。預計(ji)中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)造船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)業預警指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)短(duan)期(qi)內(nei)仍將處于“偏冷”區間(jian)。

2019年6月，新造(zao)船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)價格中(zhong)國指數降(jiang)至1120點(dian)，環比(bi)下降(jiang)9點(dian)。其中(zhong)，散貨(huo)船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)、油(you)船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)、液化氣船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)的新造(zao)船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)價格中(zhong)國指數分(fen)別(bie)為1357點(dian)、1214點(dian)、1376點(dian)，環比(bi)分(fen)別(bie)下降(jiang)1點(dian)、下降(jiang)6點(dian)、上升2點(dian)，集裝箱船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)新造(zao)船(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)(chuan)價格中(zhong)國指數為872點(dian)，環比(bi)持平(ping)。